The Health Foundation -
This analysis warns that without urgent, significant policy action, the NHS in England is facing a shortage of GPs and general practice nurses over the coming decade. The projections show that the shortage of qualified, permanent GPs is set to get substantially worse over this decade. There is currently a shortage of around 4,200 full-time equivalent (FTE) GPs, which is projected to rise to around 10,700 FTE GPs in 2030/31, relative to the number needed to meet the rising need for care. This means that without a change to current workforce trends and policies, more than one in four of the 37,800 general practitioner posts needed to deliver pre-pandemic standards of care would be vacant.